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Retail Sales Outlook

 NRF's Retail Sales Outlook is a quarterly report on industry sales, providing a thorough overview of the current retail climate and projecting retail industry sales for the year.




CURRENT EDITION:


 Retail Sales Outlook
  Fourth Quarter 2012

From the current edition:
  • Despite high anxiety about the U.S. economy, NRF is forecasting that holiday sales will grow 4.1 percent this year to $586.1 billion.
  • The pace of the U.S. recovery is slowing, with the economy growing at an annual rate of 1.7 percent during the first half of 2012, down from the 2.2 percent annual average seen since the recession ended in 2009. But expectations for housing sales are up.
  • Concerns are growing about employment, income growth and the pending “fiscal cliff” of tax increases and federal spending cuts.


NRF Members:   Access the current edition


PREVIOUS EDITIONS:

2012
Retail Sales Outlook - Fourth Quarter 2012
Retail Sales Outlook - Third Quarter 2012
Retail Sales Outlook - Second Quarter 2012

2011
Retail Sales Outlook October - December 2011
Retail Sales Outlook April - June 2011
Retail Sales Outlook January - March 2011

2010
 Retail Sales Outlook May/June 2010
 Retail Sales Outlook March/April 2010
 Retail Sales Outlook January/February 2010

2009
 Retail Sales Outlook November/December 2009
 Retail Sales Outlook September/October 2009
 Retail Sales Outlook Summer 2009 
Retail Sales Outlook Spring 2009
Retail Sales Outlook Winter 2009

2008

 Retail Sales Outlook Fall 2008 
 Retail Sales Outlook Summer 2008 
 Retail Sales Outlook Spring 2008 
 Retail Sales Outlook Winter 2008 

2007

 Retail Sales Outlook Fall 2007 
 Retail Sales Outlook Summer 2007 
 Retail Sales Outlook Spring 2007 
 Retail Sales Outlook Winter 2007 pdf

2006

 Retail Sales Outlook Fall 2006 pdf
 Retail Sales Outlook Summer 2006 pdf
 Retail Sales Outlook Spring 2006 pdf
 Retail Sales Outlook Winter 2006 pdf

2005

 Retail Sales Outlook Fall 2005 pdf
 Retail Sales Outlook Summer 2005 pdf
 Retail Sales Outlook Spring 2005 pdf
 Retail Sales Outlook Winter 2005 pdf


Prepared by NRF chief economist Jack Kleinhenz, the report utilizes recent economic data to analyze the impact of key indicators such as energy costs and the housing market on retail sales growth.

  To view PDF
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